Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Hawks NY @ ATL

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

3-3  |  Road

116
FINAL
Wed, Nov 6 • 7:30 PM ET
State Farm Arena
View Odds Details →

ATLANTA

HAWKSATL

3-5  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
HAWKS
100%
KNICKS --
HAWKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 HawksATL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

51.6%

Hawks Cover

48.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

25.7%

NY By 8-14 points

16.0%

ATL By 1-7 points

24.9%

ATL By 8-14 points

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
111.75
NEW YORK
111.34
ATLANTA
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
ATLANTA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 223.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 30, 2026 NY @ ATL 140 - 89
Apr 28, 2026 ATL @ NY 97 - 126
Apr 25, 2026 NY @ ATL 114 - 98
Apr 23, 2026 NY @ ATL 108 - 109
Apr 20, 2026 ATL @ NY 107 - 106
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.3%
New York: 40.6% vs Atlanta: 31.3%
Turnovers (L5) +52.7% more
Atlanta: 17.2 vs New York: 11.3
Assists (L5) +9.9% more
Atlanta: 26.8 vs New York: 24.4
Steals (L5) +9.8% more
Atlanta: 9.4 vs New York: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 111.8 116
ATL Score 111.3 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 40.6 39.5 / 46.8
Assists 26.8 / 24.4 31.0 / 29.0
Blocks 3.8 / 3.7 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 46.7 / 45.7 45.0 / 48.8
Free Throw % 82.8 / 79.0 72.7 / 80.0
Rebounding 41.8 / 41.8 48.0 / 41.0
Steals 9.4 / 8.6 12.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 17.2 / 11.3 8.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
48-40-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
ATL
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATL
NY
ATL
NY
ML
50% 52-52
61% 114-72
55% 48-40
56% 57-45
ATS
53% 55-48-1
67% 124-62
55% 48-40
56% 57-45
TTL
53% 55-48-1
72% 133-53
100% 88-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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