Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Magic NO @ ORL

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

3-6  |  Road

88
FINAL
Fri, Nov 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Kia Center
View Odds Details →

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

3-6  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
100%
📊
MAGIC
0%
PELICANS --
MAGIC --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
210.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.4
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.4 points (Orlando)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 MagicORL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

33.0%

Magic Cover

67.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -4.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)

NO By 1-7 points

19.5%

NO By 8-14 points

8.8%

ORL By 1-7 points

27.3%

ORL By 8-14 points

22.2%

AI Model Projected Score
103
NEW ORLEANS
107.41
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
NEW ORLEANS
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Magic Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Magic (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 210.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 5, 2026 ORL @ NO 112 - 108
Jan 11, 2026 NO @ ORL 118 - 128
Oct 16, 2025 NO @ ORL 125 - 132
Mar 13, 2025 ORL @ NO 113 - 93
Nov 8, 2024 NO @ ORL 88 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +22.4% more
Orlando: 8.6 vs New Orleans: 7.0
Turnovers (L5) +17.0% more
Orlando: 16.1 vs New Orleans: 13.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +14.0%
New Orleans: 39.0% vs Orlando: 25.0%
Free Throw % (L5) +5.1%
New Orleans: 83.6% vs Orlando: 78.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 103.0 88
ORL Score 107.4 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 25.0 / 39.0 25.0 / 32.3
Assists 23.4 / 23.0 28.0 / 18.0
Blocks 5.1 / 5.5 8.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 45.7 52.3 / 38.1
Free Throw % 78.4 / 83.6 81.0 / 82.4
Rebounding 40.7 / 38.3 43.0 / 31.0
Steals 8.6 / 7.0 9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 16.1 / 13.7 15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
ORL Advantage
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
NO
ORL
NO
ML
61% 65-42
62% 98-61
56% 51-40
58% 48-35
ATS
64% 68-38-1
68% 107-51-1
56% 51-40
58% 48-35
TTL
57% 61-46
75% 119-40
100% 91-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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