Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Pacers NY @ IND

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

4-4  |  Road

121
FINAL
Sun, Nov 10 • 5:00 PM ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

4-5  |  Home

132
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
PACERS
0%
KNICKS --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.5
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.5 points (Indiana)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

19.7%

Pacers Cover

80.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -8.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

NY By 1-7 points

12.9%

NY By 8-14 points

4.4%

IND By 1-7 points

24.8%

IND By 8-14 points

26.6%

AI Model Projected Score
111.74
NEW YORK
120.25
INDIANA
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pacers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pacers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 232.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 IND @ NY 110 - 136
Mar 13, 2026 NY @ IND 101 - 92
Feb 10, 2026 IND @ NY 137 - 134
Dec 18, 2025 NY @ IND 114 - 113
May 31, 2025 NY @ IND 108 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +8.8% more
Indiana: 13.3 vs New York: 12.2
Free Throw % (L5) +9.5%
New York: 81.0% vs Indiana: 71.5%
Assists (L5) +8.9% more
New York: 28.9 vs Indiana: 26.4
Rebounding (L5) +8.3% more
New York: 43.7 vs Indiana: 40.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 111.7 121
IND Score 120.3 132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.0 / 38.6 45.7 / 28.0
Assists 26.4 / 28.9 27.0 / 23.0
Blocks 3.7 / 3.7 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 46.9 51.1 / 55.4
Free Throw % 71.5 / 81.0 84.0 / 81.5
Rebounding 40.1 / 43.7 32.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.7 / 7.3 6.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 12.2 10.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
NY
IND
NY
ML
48% 47-50
61% 114-72
54% 45-38
56% 57-45
ATS
59% 57-40
67% 124-62
54% 45-38
56% 57-45
TTL
54% 52-45
72% 133-53
100% 83-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 0 minutes ago
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
si 12 hours, 10 minutes ago
Haliburton Returns to Hilton Coliseum as Pacers Defeat Timberwol…
kcci 18 hours, 12 minutes ago
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
bleacherreport 1 day, 5 hours ago
JJ Redick Sets Record Straight on Lakers 'Pieces Fit' Comment Af…
bleacherreport 1 day, 5 hours ago