WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
2-5 | Road
94
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
4-6 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
MAGIC
0%
WIZARDS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.4
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.4 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -10.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
WSH By 1-7 points
10.1%
WSH By 8-14 points
3.0%
ORL By 1-7 points
22.5%
ORL By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
101.03
WASHINGTON
Orlando
111.42
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
Orlando
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 212.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 12, 2026
WSH @ ORL
131 - 136
Mar 3, 2026
WSH @ ORL
109 - 126
Jan 6, 2026
ORL @ WSH
112 - 120
Nov 1, 2025
ORL @ WSH
125 - 94
Apr 3, 2025
ORL @ WSH
109 - 97
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
Orlando: 46.2%
vs
Washington: 43.5%
Blocks (L5)
+19.0% more
Washington: 7.5
vs
Orlando: 6.1
Steals (L5)
+10.5% more
Washington: 9.7
vs
Orlando: 8.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Washington: 28.3%
vs
Orlando: 25.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
101.0
94
ORL Score
111.4
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
25.0 / 28.3
35.4 / 30.3
Assists
25.0 / 27.1
25.0 / 20.0
Blocks
6.1 / 7.5
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.2 / 43.5
45.1 / 45.8
Free Throw %
79.3 / 81.8
88.0 / 72.0
Rebounding
41.5 / 42.7
44.0 / 37.0
Steals
8.7 / 9.7
6.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 15.0
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
ORL
Advantage
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
WSH
ORL
WSH
ML
61%
65-42
70%
112-49
56%
51-40
47%
39-44
ATS
64%
68-38-1
69%
111-49-1
56%
51-40
47%
39-44
TTL
57%
61-46
74%
119-41-1
100%
91-0
100%
83-0
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