Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ 76ers NY @ PHI

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

4-5  |  Road

111
FINAL
Tue, Nov 12 • 7:30 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

2-7  |  Home

99
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
KNICKS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
214.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

55.1%

76ers Cover

44.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

26.4%

NY By 8-14 points

17.4%

PHI By 1-7 points

23.9%

PHI By 8-14 points

13.3%

AI Model Projected Score
108.1
NEW YORK
106.82
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 214.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
May 4, 2026 PHI @ NY 98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026 NY @ PHI 138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +20.9% more
New York: 3.5 vs Philadelphia: 2.8
Assists (L5) +13.1% more
New York: 27.0 vs Philadelphia: 23.4
Free Throw % (L5) +8.4%
New York: 81.1% vs Philadelphia: 72.8%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.5%
New York: 49.7% vs Philadelphia: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 108.1 111
PHI Score 106.8 99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.0 / 35.1 33.3 / 29.0
Assists 23.4 / 27.0 19.0 / 31.0
Blocks 2.8 / 3.5 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 45.3 / 49.7 37.3 / 49.4
Free Throw % 72.8 / 81.1 95.8 / 93.3
Rebounding 39.4 / 42.1 40.0 / 47.0
Steals 8.3 / 6.5 10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 14.6 / 12.8 15.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NY
PHI
NY
ML
63% 69-40
61% 114-72
48% 45-48
56% 57-45
ATS
65% 71-38
67% 124-62
48% 45-48
56% 57-45
TTL
55% 60-49
72% 133-53
100% 93-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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