PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
8-2 | Road
120
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
2-7 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
JAZZ
100%
SUNS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.6
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.6 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -5.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
27.0%
PHX By 8-14 points
23.8%
UTAH By 1-7 points
17.6%
UTAH By 8-14 points
7.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
111.85
PHOENIX
Utah
106.25
UTAH
Simulated Score
Phoenix
PHOENIX
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
UTAH @ PHX
109 - 134
Oct 31, 2025
UTAH @ PHX
96 - 118
Oct 27, 2025
PHX @ UTAH
134 - 138
Feb 7, 2025
UTAH @ PHX
127 - 135
Jan 11, 2025
UTAH @ PHX
106 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+11.5% more
Phoenix: 27.9
vs
Utah: 24.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Phoenix: 36.1%
vs
Utah: 34.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.6%
Phoenix: 46.4%
vs
Utah: 44.8%
Turnovers (L5)
+55.8% more
Utah: 19.3
vs
Phoenix: 12.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
111.9
120
UTAH Score
106.3
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.3 / 36.1
39.5 / 46.2
Assists
24.7 / 27.9
32.0 / 21.0
Blocks
5.3 / 4.1
3.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 46.4
48.9 / 50.0
Free Throw %
81.0 / 77.8
77.8 / 72.7
Rebounding
44.3 / 45.0
39.0 / 42.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.7
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
19.3 / 12.4
13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
PHX
UTAH
PHX
ML
60%
96-63
57%
60-45
48%
40-43
51%
45-43
ATS
68%
108-51
58%
59-43-3
48%
40-43
51%
45-43
TTL
75%
119-39-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
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