Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bulls @ Knicks CHI @ NY

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

4-7  |  Road

124
FINAL
Wed, Nov 13 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

5-5  |  Home

123
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
BULLS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.4 points (New York)
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

29.4%

Knicks Cover

70.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -5.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

CHI By 1-7 points

17.9%

CHI By 8-14 points

7.5%

NY By 1-7 points

27.1%

NY By 8-14 points

23.6%

AI Model Projected Score
113.45
CHICAGO
118.86
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
CHICAGO
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 232.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 3, 2026 CHI @ NY 96 - 136
Feb 22, 2026 NY @ CHI 105 - 99
Nov 2, 2025 CHI @ NY 116 - 128
Oct 31, 2025 NY @ CHI 125 - 135
Feb 20, 2025 CHI @ NY 111 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
New York: 85.2% vs Chicago: 78.2%
Turnovers (L5) +24.0% more
Chicago: 17.8 vs New York: 13.6
Steals (L5) +16.5% more
Chicago: 8.4 vs New York: 7.0
Blocks (L5) +15.1% more
Chicago: 4.7 vs New York: 4.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 113.5 124
NY Score 118.9 123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.0 / 36.2 40.5 / 38.9
Assists 28.3 / 28.1 31.0 / 31.0
Blocks 4.0 / 4.7 3.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 49.6 / 48.5 51.1 / 53.7
Free Throw % 85.2 / 78.2 66.7 / 81.5
Rebounding 43.8 / 46.1 40.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.0 / 8.4 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.6 / 17.8 15.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CHI
NY
CHI
ML
61% 114-72
56% 54-42
56% 57-45
57% 46-35
ATS
67% 124-62
65% 62-33-1
56% 57-45
57% 46-35
TTL
72% 133-53
58% 56-40
100% 102-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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