LOS ANGELES
LAKERSLAL
7-4 | Road
120
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
6-6 | Home
115
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
100%
SPURS
0%
LAKERS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.0
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.0 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SA -6.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
LAL By 1-7 points
16.9%
LAL By 8-14 points
6.8%
SA By 1-7 points
26.8%
SA By 8-14 points
24.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
107.2
LOS ANGELES
San Antonio
113.21
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
LOS ANGELES
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -6.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 10, 2026
SA @ LAL
136 - 108
Jan 7, 2026
LAL @ SA
91 - 107
Dec 10, 2025
SA @ LAL
132 - 119
Nov 5, 2025
SA @ LAL
116 - 118
Mar 17, 2025
SA @ LAL
109 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.6% more
San Antonio: 6.7
vs
Los Angeles: 5.2
Turnovers (L5)
+15.0% more
San Antonio: 14.8
vs
Los Angeles: 12.9
Assists (L5)
+11.4% more
San Antonio: 32.0
vs
Los Angeles: 28.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
San Antonio: 85.1%
vs
Los Angeles: 77.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAL Score
107.2
120
SA Score
113.2
115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.2 / 40.1
37.8 / 45.2
Assists
32.0 / 28.7
32.0 / 27.0
Blocks
6.7 / 5.2
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
49.5 / 49.4
48.9 / 50.0
Free Throw %
85.1 / 77.6
75.0 / 78.3
Rebounding
41.4 / 39.7
40.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.1 / 6.9
6.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 12.9
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL
57-35-0
(62.0%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL
51-41-0
(55.4%)
Margin: 1.0
ATS +/-: -0.1
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -0.4
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
LAL
SA
LAL
ML
60%
111-73
61%
68-43
58%
61-44
54%
49-42
ATS
58%
107-76-1
61%
67-43-1
58%
61-44
54%
49-42
TTL
74%
134-47-3
61%
66-43-2
100%
105-0
100%
91-0
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