UTAH
JAZZUTAH
3-8 | Road
117
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
7-6 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
KINGS
0%
JAZZ
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.8
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.8 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -7.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
UTAH By 1-7 points
14.1%
UTAH By 8-14 points
5.1%
SAC By 1-7 points
25.6%
SAC By 8-14 points
26.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
106.55
UTAH
Sacramento
114.3
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Sacramento
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
UTAH @ SAC
111 - 116
Feb 11, 2026
SAC @ UTAH
93 - 121
Nov 28, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
119 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
UTAH @ SAC
104 - 105
Feb 26, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
118 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+57.6% more
Sacramento: 5.8
vs
Utah: 3.7
Rebounding (L5)
+11.3% more
Sacramento: 46.4
vs
Utah: 41.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.4%
Sacramento: 84.1%
vs
Utah: 78.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.9%
Sacramento: 51.5%
vs
Utah: 47.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
106.6
117
SAC Score
114.3
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.4 / 36.8
46.3 / 46.2
Assists
24.9 / 26.4
24.0 / 16.0
Blocks
5.8 / 3.7
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
51.5 / 47.7
50.6 / 49.3
Free Throw %
84.1 / 78.7
72.0 / 73.8
Rebounding
46.4 / 41.7
35.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.4 / 8.7
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 18.1
14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
UTAH
SAC
UTAH
ML
55%
55-45
60%
96-63
61%
50-32
48%
40-43
ATS
54%
52-45-3
68%
108-51
61%
50-32
48%
40-43
TTL
58%
57-42-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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