DETROIT
PISTONSDET
6-8 | Road
124
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
2-9 | Home
104
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
PISTONS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
DETROIT
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around DET -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1-7 points
26.7%
DET By 8-14 points
18.0%
WSH By 1-7 points
23.5%
WSH By 8-14 points
12.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
109.91
DETROIT
Washington
108.26
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Detroit
DETROIT
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pistons
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pistons (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
DET @ WSH
117 - 95
Mar 17, 2026
DET @ WSH
130 - 117
Feb 5, 2026
WSH @ DET
126 - 117
Nov 10, 2025
WSH @ DET
135 - 137
Oct 16, 2025
WSH @ DET
98 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+14.2% more
Detroit: 6.6
vs
Washington: 5.7
Rebounding (L5)
+14.1% more
Detroit: 50.7
vs
Washington: 43.6
Steals (L5)
+44.6% more
Washington: 9.2
vs
Detroit: 6.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+6.3%
Washington: 78.4%
vs
Detroit: 72.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
109.9
124
WSH Score
108.3
104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 32.8
44.4 / 44.7
Assists
25.8 / 26.6
21.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.7 / 6.6
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 44.7
47.0 / 47.4
Free Throw %
78.4 / 72.1
70.0 / 78.9
Rebounding
43.6 / 50.7
39.0 / 51.0
Steals
9.2 / 6.3
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
16.8 / 16.0
17.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
DET
WSH
DET
ML
70%
112-49
55%
64-53
47%
39-44
49%
47-49
ATS
69%
111-49-1
53%
60-54-3
47%
39-44
49%
47-49
TTL
74%
119-41-1
60%
70-46-1
100%
83-0
100%
96-0
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