Home / NBA Projections NBA / Nets @ Knicks BKN @ NY

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

5-8  |  Road

104
FINAL
Sun, Nov 17 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

6-6  |  Home

114
AI Model Win Probability
NETS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
NETS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (New York)
NetsBKN (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Nets Cover

44.7%

Knicks Cover

55.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -1.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

BKN By 1-7 points

23.9%

BKN By 8-14 points

13.2%

NY By 1-7 points

26.5%

NY By 8-14 points

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
112.28
BROOKLYN
113.62
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
BROOKLYN
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 225.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 20, 2026 NY @ BKN 93 - 92
Jan 21, 2026 BKN @ NY 66 - 120
Nov 24, 2025 NY @ BKN 113 - 100
Nov 9, 2025 BKN @ NY 98 - 134
Apr 13, 2025 NY @ BKN 113 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +54.7% more
New York: 4.4 vs Brooklyn: 2.9
Steals (L5) +16.1% more
New York: 7.0 vs Brooklyn: 6.0
Rebounding (L5) +12.7% more
New York: 43.3 vs Brooklyn: 38.5
Assists (L5) +8.5% more
New York: 27.8 vs Brooklyn: 25.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BKN Score 112.3 104
NY Score 113.6 114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 39.9 32.5 / 41.5
Assists 27.8 / 25.6 33.0 / 31.0
Blocks 4.4 / 2.9 5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 51.1 / 45.6 48.9 / 42.1
Free Throw % 80.1 / 85.2 78.9 / 76.7
Rebounding 43.3 / 38.5 47.0 / 35.0
Steals 7.0 / 6.0 4.0 / 1.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 13.1 8.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
BKN
NY
BKN
ML
61% 114-72
53% 50-45
56% 57-45
59% 48-34
ATS
67% 124-62
52% 48-44-3
56% 57-45
59% 48-34
TTL
72% 133-53
57% 54-41
100% 102-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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