Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Lakers UTAH @ LAL

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

3-10  |  Road

118
FINAL
Tue, Nov 19 • 10:30 PM ET
Crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

9-4  |  Home

124
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
JAZZ --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.7
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.7 points (Los Angeles)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

28.3%

Lakers Cover

71.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -5.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

UTAH By 1-7 points

17.4%

UTAH By 8-14 points

7.1%

LAL By 1-7 points

27.0%

LAL By 8-14 points

24.0%

AI Model Projected Score
108.13
UTAH
113.86
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
UTAH
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 UTAH @ LAL 107 - 131
Dec 18, 2025 LAL @ UTAH 143 - 135
Nov 23, 2025 LAL @ UTAH 108 - 106
Nov 18, 2025 UTAH @ LAL 126 - 140
Feb 12, 2025 LAL @ UTAH 119 - 131
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +50.6% more
Los Angeles: 4.0 vs Utah: 2.6
Assists (L5) +14.8% more
Los Angeles: 26.8 vs Utah: 23.3
Turnovers (L5) +32.9% more
Utah: 18.0 vs Los Angeles: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 108.1 118
LAL Score 113.9 124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.9 / 36.6 45.2 / 33.3
Assists 26.8 / 23.3 30.0 / 28.0
Blocks 4.0 / 2.6 5.0 / 0.0
Field Goal % 47.6 / 48.6 55.3 / 50.0
Free Throw % 77.8 / 79.1 72.2 / 84.2
Rebounding 41.1 / 39.5 34.0 / 42.0
Steals 8.6 / 8.7 9.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 18.0 14.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
UTAH
LAL
UTAH
ML
61% 68-43
60% 96-63
54% 49-42
48% 40-43
ATS
61% 67-43-1
68% 108-51
54% 49-42
48% 40-43
TTL
61% 66-43-2
75% 119-39-1
100% 91-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 2 hours, 6 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 8 hours, 5 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Primed for MVP-Caliber Season with Lakers After Offs…
nypost 1 day, 2 hours ago
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
bleacherreport 1 day, 8 hours ago
JJ Redick Sets Record Straight on Lakers 'Pieces Fit' Comment Af…
bleacherreport 1 day, 8 hours ago