AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
SUNS
100%
KNICKS
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.5 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -5.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
27.1%
NY By 8-14 points
23.6%
PHX By 1-7 points
17.8%
PHX By 8-14 points
7.5%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
117.14
NEW YORK
Phoenix
111.69
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Phoenix
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 17, 2026
PHX @ NY
106 - 99
Jan 9, 2026
NY @ PHX
107 - 112
Apr 6, 2025
PHX @ NY
98 - 112
Nov 20, 2024
NY @ PHX
138 - 122
Dec 15, 2023
NY @ PHX
139 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+23.1% more
New York: 32.0
vs
Phoenix: 24.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.6%
New York: 83.9%
vs
Phoenix: 72.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.8%
New York: 52.2%
vs
Phoenix: 43.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
New York: 39.5%
vs
Phoenix: 34.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
117.1
138
PHX Score
111.7
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.2 / 39.5
38.0 / 48.7
Assists
24.6 / 32.0
30.0 / 30.0
Blocks
3.2 / 3.4
2.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
43.5 / 52.2
48.9 / 58.1
Free Throw %
72.3 / 83.9
76.5 / 90.5
Rebounding
44.2 / 43.4
34.0 / 41.0
Steals
7.2 / 5.3
9.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 10.5
14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
PHX
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
PHX
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
NY
PHX
NY
ML
57%
60-45
61%
114-72
51%
45-43
56%
57-45
ATS
58%
59-43-3
67%
124-62
51%
45-43
56%
57-45
TTL
59%
61-42-2
72%
133-53
100%
88-0
100%
102-0