BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
12-3 | Road
108
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
2-11 | Home
96
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
CELTICS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.0
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.0 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -14.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
16.9%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.2%
WSH By 1-7 points
5.7%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
124.07
BOSTON
Washington
110.04
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Boston
BOSTON
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -14.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 234.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
WSH @ BOS
100 - 111
Dec 4, 2025
BOS @ WSH
146 - 101
Nov 5, 2025
WSH @ BOS
107 - 136
Apr 6, 2025
WSH @ BOS
90 - 124
Dec 15, 2024
BOS @ WSH
112 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+21.1% more
Boston: 30.1
vs
Washington: 23.8
Blocks (L5)
+15.7% more
Boston: 5.0
vs
Washington: 4.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.6%
Boston: 78.8%
vs
Washington: 69.2%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+6.9%
Boston: 43.2%
vs
Washington: 36.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
124.1
108
WSH Score
110.0
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.3 / 43.2
25.0 / 23.9
Assists
23.8 / 30.1
19.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.2 / 5.0
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 48.4
43.3 / 42.4
Free Throw %
69.2 / 78.8
68.8 / 78.1
Rebounding
41.7 / 41.9
48.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.1 / 4.9
6.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
14.6 / 12.0
20.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
BOS
WSH
BOS
ML
70%
112-49
57%
61-46
47%
39-44
53%
47-41
ATS
69%
111-49-1
59%
61-43-3
47%
39-44
53%
47-41
TTL
74%
119-41-1
56%
60-47
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
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