Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Jazz NY @ UTAH

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

9-6  |  Road

106
FINAL
Sat, Nov 23 • 5:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

3-12  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
KNICKS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
232.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.3 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

70.1%

Jazz Cover

29.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -5.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

27.2%

NY By 8-14 points

23.4%

UTAH By 1-7 points

18.1%

UTAH By 8-14 points

7.7%

AI Model Projected Score
118.92
NEW YORK
113.66
UTAH
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 232.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 11, 2026 NY @ UTAH 134 - 117
Dec 5, 2025 UTAH @ NY 112 - 146
Jan 1, 2025 UTAH @ NY 103 - 119
Nov 23, 2024 NY @ UTAH 106 - 121
Jan 30, 2024 UTAH @ NY 103 - 118
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +23.7% more
New York: 31.4 vs Utah: 23.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +9.3%
New York: 42.6% vs Utah: 33.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +7.5%
New York: 54.2% vs Utah: 46.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +2.7%
New York: 86.1% vs Utah: 83.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 118.9 106
UTAH Score 113.7 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 42.6 55.9 / 33.3
Assists 23.9 / 31.4 30.0 / 25.0
Blocks 3.5 / 2.3 4.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 46.6 / 54.2 50.6 / 39.0
Free Throw % 83.4 / 86.1 73.7 / 91.7
Rebounding 43.2 / 42.6 52.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.9 4.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 16.2 / 12.0 18.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
NY
UTAH
NY
ML
60% 96-63
61% 114-72
48% 40-43
56% 57-45
ATS
68% 108-51
67% 124-62
48% 40-43
56% 57-45
TTL
75% 119-39-1
72% 133-53
100% 83-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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