NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
9-7 | Road
145
DENVER
NUGGETSDEN
9-6 | Home
118
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
NUGGETS
100%
KNICKS
--
NUGGETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -3.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
27.3%
NY By 8-14 points
20.5%
DEN By 1-7 points
21.3%
DEN By 8-14 points
10.4%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
120.8
NEW YORK
Denver
117.59
DENVER
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Denver
DENVER
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 238.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 6, 2026
NY @ DEN
142 - 103
Feb 4, 2026
DEN @ NY
127 - 134
Jan 29, 2025
DEN @ NY
112 - 122
Nov 25, 2024
NY @ DEN
145 - 118
Mar 21, 2024
NY @ DEN
100 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+21.6%
New York: 88.0%
vs
Denver: 66.4%
Blocks (L5)
+10.1% more
New York: 4.9
vs
Denver: 4.4
Turnovers (L5)
+46.0% more
Denver: 16.1
vs
New York: 11.0
Assists (L5)
+10.8% more
Denver: 32.4
vs
New York: 29.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
120.8
145
DEN Score
117.6
118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
44.0 / 39.5
33.3 / 52.8
Assists
32.4 / 29.2
23.0 / 45.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.9
3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
51.8 / 49.1
44.6 / 60.9
Free Throw %
66.4 / 88.0
92.6 / 87.5
Rebounding
45.6 / 41.7
33.0 / 43.0
Steals
7.9 / 7.9
5.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 11.0
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DEN
56-32-0
(63.6%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DEN
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
DEN
53-35-0
O: 60.2% / U: 39.8%
Total +/-: +3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DEN
NY
DEN
NY
ML
54%
57-48
61%
114-72
55%
47-39
56%
57-45
ATS
63%
65-38-2
67%
124-62
55%
47-39
56%
57-45
TTL
54%
56-48-1
72%
133-53
100%
86-0
100%
102-0
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