Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bulls @ Wizards CHI @ WSH

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

7-11  |  Road

127
FINAL
Tue, Nov 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

2-13  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
📊
WIZARDS
100%
BULLS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Chicago)
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

56.9%

Wizards Cover

43.1%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

CHI By 1-7 points

26.7%

CHI By 8-14 points

18.1%

WSH By 1-7 points

23.4%

WSH By 8-14 points

12.6%

AI Model Projected Score
112
CHICAGO
110.26
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
CHICAGO
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulls (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 222.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 CHI @ WSH 119 - 108
Apr 7, 2026 CHI @ WSH 129 - 98
Nov 22, 2025 WSH @ CHI 120 - 121
Apr 11, 2025 WSH @ CHI 89 - 119
Jan 10, 2025 WSH @ CHI 105 - 138
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +34.7% more
Chicago: 6.8 vs Washington: 4.4
Assists (L5) +23.5% more
Chicago: 29.8 vs Washington: 22.8
Free Throw % (L5) +11.3%
Chicago: 84.0% vs Washington: 72.7%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.3%
Chicago: 42.4% vs Washington: 32.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 112.0 127
WSH Score 110.3 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.2 / 42.4 27.0 / 35.0
Assists 22.8 / 29.8 27.0 / 29.0
Blocks 4.4 / 6.8 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 50.1 42.9 / 50.0
Free Throw % 72.7 / 84.0 64.5 / 86.4
Rebounding 42.9 / 38.8 43.0 / 50.0
Steals 7.1 / 6.1 7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 16.6 / 14.4 14.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI Advantage
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI Advantage
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CHI
WSH
CHI
ML
70% 112-49
56% 54-42
47% 39-44
57% 46-35
ATS
69% 111-49-1
65% 62-33-1
47% 39-44
57% 46-35
TTL
74% 119-41-1
58% 56-40
100% 83-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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