NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
10-7 | Road
114
DALLAS
MAVERICKSDAL
10-8 | Home
129
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
MAVERICKS
0%
KNICKS
--
MAVERICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
248.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.6
DALLAS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.6 points (Dallas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around DAL -7.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DAL)
NY By 1-7 points
14.4%
NY By 8-14 points
5.2%
DAL By 1-7 points
25.7%
DAL By 8-14 points
25.9%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
120.47
NEW YORK
Dallas
128.05
DALLAS
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Dallas
DALLAS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mavericks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 248.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
DAL @ NY
114 - 97
Nov 19, 2025
NY @ DAL
113 - 111
Mar 25, 2025
DAL @ NY
113 - 128
Nov 27, 2024
NY @ DAL
114 - 129
Feb 8, 2024
DAL @ NY
122 - 108
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+57.5% more
Dallas: 7.2
vs
New York: 4.6
Turnovers (L5)
+38.4% more
Dallas: 15.2
vs
New York: 11.0
Rebounding (L5)
+19.8% more
Dallas: 50.5
vs
New York: 42.2
Steals (L5)
+8.2% more
Dallas: 7.5
vs
New York: 7.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
120.5
114
DAL Score
128.1
129
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.4 / 43.9
51.5 / 24.1
Assists
25.2 / 34.5
27.0 / 20.0
Blocks
7.2 / 4.6
4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 53.1
56.5 / 46.5
Free Throw %
81.6 / 87.8
76.2 / 90.0
Rebounding
50.5 / 42.2
43.0 / 33.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.0
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 11.0
13.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DAL
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
DAL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -5.5
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
DAL
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DAL
NY
DAL
NY
ML
62%
63-39
61%
114-72
54%
44-37
56%
57-45
ATS
67%
68-34
67%
124-62
54%
44-37
56%
57-45
TTL
59%
60-41-1
72%
133-53
100%
81-0
100%
102-0
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