AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.0
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.0 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -11.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
21.7%
LAC By 8-14 points
27.4%
WSH By 1-7 points
9.3%
WSH By 8-14 points
2.7%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
109.49
LA
Washington
98.51
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
LA
LA
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 208.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
LAC @ WSH
110 - 106
Jan 14, 2026
WSH @ LAC
105 - 119
Jan 23, 2025
WSH @ LAC
93 - 110
Nov 27, 2024
LAC @ WSH
121 - 96
Mar 1, 2024
WSH @ LAC
115 - 140
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.1% more
LA: 9.4
vs
Washington: 7.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
LA: 78.9%
vs
Washington: 70.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.4%
LA: 33.9%
vs
Washington: 30.5%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
LA: 47.1%
vs
Washington: 44.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
109.5
121
WSH Score
98.5
96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.5 / 33.9
24.2 / 36.4
Assists
24.2 / 24.1
21.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.7
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
44.4 / 47.1
41.2 / 50.6
Free Throw %
70.0 / 78.9
81.8 / 76.0
Rebounding
42.9 / 46.1
40.0 / 47.0
Steals
7.1 / 9.4
9.0 / 18.0
Turnovers
15.7 / 15.8
20.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
LAC
WSH
LAC
ML
70%
112-49
60%
59-40
47%
39-44
55%
45-37
ATS
69%
111-49-1
66%
65-33-1
47%
39-44
55%
45-37
TTL
74%
119-41-1
59%
58-40-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0