NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
10-8 | Road
99
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
6-12 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
HORNETS
100%
KNICKS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
27.0%
NY By 8-14 points
19.1%
CHA By 1-7 points
22.5%
CHA By 8-14 points
11.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
114.77
NEW YORK
Charlotte
112.41
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Charlotte
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
CHA @ NY
110 - 96
Mar 26, 2026
NY @ CHA
103 - 114
Dec 3, 2025
CHA @ NY
104 - 119
Nov 26, 2025
NY @ CHA
129 - 101
Mar 20, 2025
NY @ CHA
98 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+28.7% more
New York: 29.7
vs
Charlotte: 21.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+22.5%
New York: 88.5%
vs
Charlotte: 66.0%
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.8%
New York: 50.9%
vs
Charlotte: 41.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+2.7%
New York: 37.3%
vs
Charlotte: 34.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
114.8
99
CHA Score
112.4
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 37.3
31.9 / 37.5
Assists
21.1 / 29.7
25.0 / 20.0
Blocks
5.2 / 4.1
6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
41.1 / 50.9
40.4 / 44.4
Free Throw %
66.0 / 88.5
73.3 / 78.9
Rebounding
46.3 / 39.1
39.0 / 44.0
Steals
8.3 / 7.6
8.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
16.7 / 10.3
15.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
CHA
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
NY
CHA
NY
ML
61%
60-39
61%
114-72
48%
40-44
56%
57-45
ATS
60%
59-40
67%
124-62
48%
40-44
56%
57-45
TTL
58%
57-42
72%
133-53
100%
84-0
100%
102-0
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