Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Knicks NO @ NY

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

4-16  |  Road

85
FINAL
Sun, Dec 1 • 6:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

11-8  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
PELICANS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (New Orleans)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

57.5%

Knicks Cover

42.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

NO By 1-7 points

26.8%

NO By 8-14 points

18.4%

NY By 1-7 points

23.2%

NY By 8-14 points

12.3%

AI Model Projected Score
110.13
NEW ORLEANS
108.24
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
NEW ORLEANS
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pelicans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pelicans (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 218.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 24, 2026 NO @ NY 116 - 121
Dec 29, 2025 NY @ NO 130 - 125
Dec 21, 2024 NY @ NO 104 - 93
Dec 1, 2024 NO @ NY 85 - 118
Feb 27, 2024 NO @ NY 115 - 92
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +22.3% more
New Orleans: 9.6 vs New York: 7.4
Blocks (L5) +17.7% more
New Orleans: 5.3 vs New York: 4.4
Rebounding (L5) +9.7% more
New Orleans: 45.1 vs New York: 40.7
Assists (L5) +15.0% more
New York: 26.4 vs New Orleans: 23.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 110.1 85
NY Score 108.2 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.4 / 30.6 44.4 / 14.8
Assists 26.4 / 23.0 30.0 / 20.0
Blocks 4.4 / 5.3 9.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 42.9 45.7 / 37.2
Free Throw % 85.3 / 70.5 87.5 / 64.7
Rebounding 40.7 / 45.1 60.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.4 / 9.6 10.0 / 14.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 15.1 17.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
NO
NY
NO
ML
61% 114-72
62% 98-61
56% 57-45
58% 48-35
ATS
67% 124-62
68% 107-51-1
56% 57-45
58% 48-35
TTL
72% 133-53
75% 119-40
100% 102-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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