Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ Jazz LAL @ UTAH

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

11-8  |  Road

105
FINAL
Sun, Dec 1 • 8:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

4-15  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
LAKERS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.3
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.3 points (Los Angeles)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

76.8%

Jazz Cover

23.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAL -7.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

LAL By 1-7 points

26.0%

LAL By 8-14 points

25.6%

UTAH By 1-7 points

14.8%

UTAH By 8-14 points

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
115.22
LOS ANGELES
107.91
UTAH
Simulated Score
LOS ANGELES
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 223.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 UTAH @ LAL 107 - 131
Dec 18, 2025 LAL @ UTAH 143 - 135
Nov 23, 2025 LAL @ UTAH 108 - 106
Nov 18, 2025 UTAH @ LAL 126 - 140
Feb 12, 2025 LAL @ UTAH 119 - 131
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +11.9% more
Los Angeles: 26.6 vs Utah: 23.5
Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
Los Angeles: 47.7% vs Utah: 43.1%
Free Throw % (L5) +4.2%
Los Angeles: 80.4% vs Utah: 76.2%
Turnovers (L5) +22.3% more
Utah: 17.3 vs Los Angeles: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 115.2 105
UTAH Score 107.9 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.6 / 33.2 35.0 / 21.2
Assists 23.5 / 26.6 27.0 / 23.0
Blocks 5.1 / 4.8 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 47.7 50.6 / 44.3
Free Throw % 76.2 / 80.4 62.5 / 80.0
Rebounding 47.9 / 42.7 44.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.6 / 6.7 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 17.3 / 14.2 15.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
LAL
UTAH
LAL
ML
60% 96-63
61% 68-43
48% 40-43
54% 49-42
ATS
68% 108-51
61% 67-43-1
48% 40-43
54% 49-42
TTL
75% 119-39-1
61% 66-43-2
100% 83-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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