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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

2-16  |  Road

87
FINAL
Tue, Dec 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

18-3  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
WIZARDS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.5
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.5 points (Cleveland)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

14.7%

Cavaliers Cover

85.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -10.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

WSH By 1-7 points

10.0%

WSH By 8-14 points

3.0%

CLE By 1-7 points

22.4%

CLE By 8-14 points

27.3%

AI Model Projected Score
107.61
WASHINGTON
118.09
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
WASHINGTON
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 225.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 WSH @ CLE 117 - 130
Feb 11, 2026 WSH @ CLE 113 - 138
Dec 12, 2025 CLE @ WSH 130 - 126
Nov 7, 2025 CLE @ WSH 148 - 115
Feb 7, 2025 CLE @ WSH 134 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +25.5% more
Cleveland: 4.6 vs Washington: 3.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.5%
Cleveland: 38.7% vs Washington: 28.3%
Field Goal % (L5) +2.8%
Cleveland: 47.4% vs Washington: 44.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 107.6 87
CLE Score 118.1 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.7 / 28.3 34.8 / 15.4
Assists 24.9 / 23.4 31.0 / 18.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.6 4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 47.4 / 44.6 48.3 / 38.6
Free Throw % 80.2 / 81.2 64.0 / 76.0
Rebounding 44.0 / 41.6 45.0 / 52.0
Steals 7.9 / 7.5 11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 15.4 11.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH Advantage
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
WSH
CLE
WSH
ML
60% 69-46
70% 112-49
56% 55-44
47% 39-44
ATS
67% 75-37-3
69% 111-49-1
56% 55-44
47% 39-44
TTL
59% 68-47
74% 119-41-1
100% 99-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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