Home / NBA Projections NBA / Magic @ Knicks ORL @ NY

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

15-7  |  Road

106
FINAL
Tue, Dec 3 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

12-8  |  Home

121
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
MAGIC --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.7 points (New York)
MagicORL (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Magic Cover

32.0%

Knicks Cover

68.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -4.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

ORL By 1-7 points

19.0%

ORL By 8-14 points

8.4%

NY By 1-7 points

27.3%

NY By 8-14 points

22.6%

AI Model Projected Score
114.36
ORLANDO
119.05
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
ORLANDO
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 233.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 NY @ ORL 132 - 120
Dec 7, 2025 ORL @ NY 100 - 106
Nov 22, 2025 NY @ ORL 121 - 133
Nov 12, 2025 ORL @ NY 124 - 107
Jan 6, 2025 ORL @ NY 103 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +7.2%
New York: 86.1% vs Orlando: 78.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.4%
New York: 39.7% vs Orlando: 34.3%
Blocks (L5) +39.4% more
Orlando: 9.8 vs New York: 5.9
Steals (L5) +24.0% more
Orlando: 10.9 vs New York: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ORL Score 114.4 106
NY Score 119.1 121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.7 / 34.3 42.9 / 23.1
Assists 27.6 / 25.7 30.0 / 20.0
Blocks 5.9 / 9.8 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 47.7 / 47.7 50.6 / 43.7
Free Throw % 86.1 / 78.8 100.0 / 84.0
Rebounding 47.2 / 44.0 39.0 / 38.0
Steals 8.3 / 10.9 6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 14.9 / 16.8 19.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
ORL
NY
ORL
ML
61% 114-72
61% 65-42
56% 57-45
56% 51-40
ATS
67% 124-62
64% 68-38-1
56% 57-45
56% 51-40
TTL
72% 133-53
57% 61-46
100% 102-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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