Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ Knicks CHA @ NY

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

6-15  |  Road

101
FINAL
Thu, Dec 5 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

13-8  |  Home

125
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
HORNETS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.2 points (New York)
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

23.7%

Knicks Cover

76.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -7.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

CHA By 1-7 points

15.0%

CHA By 8-14 points

5.6%

NY By 1-7 points

26.1%

NY By 8-14 points

25.5%

AI Model Projected Score
109.1
CHARLOTTE
116.27
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
CHARLOTTE
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -7.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 225.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 CHA @ NY 110 - 96
Mar 26, 2026 NY @ CHA 103 - 114
Dec 3, 2025 CHA @ NY 104 - 119
Nov 26, 2025 NY @ CHA 129 - 101
Mar 20, 2025 NY @ CHA 98 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +26.8% more
New York: 28.4 vs Charlotte: 22.4
Free Throw % (L5) +14.2%
New York: 90.7% vs Charlotte: 76.5%
Blocks (L5) +10.9% more
New York: 5.3 vs Charlotte: 4.8
Field Goal % (L5) +7.5%
New York: 48.7% vs Charlotte: 41.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 109.1 101
NY Score 116.3 125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.8 / 36.1 54.5 / 38.5
Assists 28.4 / 22.4 29.0 / 27.0
Blocks 5.3 / 4.8 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 41.2 53.9 / 44.9
Free Throw % 90.7 / 76.5 78.1 / 60.0
Rebounding 44.4 / 45.2 43.0 / 40.0
Steals 7.5 / 8.2 7.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 16.3 / 16.8 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
NY
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
CHA
NY
CHA
ML
61% 114-72
61% 60-39
56% 57-45
48% 40-44
ATS
67% 124-62
60% 59-40
56% 57-45
48% 40-44
TTL
72% 133-53
58% 57-42
100% 102-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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