Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bulls @ Spurs CHI @ SA

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

9-13  |  Road

139
FINAL
Thu, Dec 5 • 8:00 PM ET
Frost Bank Center
View Odds Details →

SAN ANTONIO

SPURSSA

11-10  |  Home

124
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
0%
📊
SPURS
100%
BULLS --
SPURS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.1
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.1 points (Chicago)
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 SpursSA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

69.6%

Spurs Cover

30.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CHI -5.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

CHI By 1-7 points

27.2%

CHI By 8-14 points

23.2%

SA By 1-7 points

18.3%

SA By 8-14 points

7.8%

AI Model Projected Score
120.5
CHICAGO
115.36
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
CHICAGO
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Bulls Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Bulls (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -5.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 235.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 30, 2026 CHI @ SA 114 - 129
Nov 10, 2025 SA @ CHI 121 - 117
Jan 6, 2025 SA @ CHI 110 - 114
Dec 5, 2024 CHI @ SA 139 - 124
Jan 13, 2024 CHI @ SA 122 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +8.5%
Chicago: 51.5% vs San Antonio: 43.0%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
Chicago: 37.5% vs San Antonio: 32.4%
Blocks (L5) +12.1% more
San Antonio: 5.3 vs Chicago: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 120.5 139
SA Score 115.4 124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.4 / 37.5 28.6 / 45.9
Assists 28.5 / 30.4 26.0 / 36.0
Blocks 5.3 / 4.7 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.0 / 51.5 46.3 / 57.8
Free Throw % 80.4 / 81.5 71.8 / 78.3
Rebounding 44.8 / 45.6 41.0 / 50.0
Steals 7.8 / 7.4 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 13.9 / 14.0 11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
SA Advantage
75-31-0 (70.8%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
SA Advantage
60-44-2 (57.7%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8% Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
CHI
SA
CHI
ML
60% 111-73
56% 54-42
58% 61-44
57% 46-35
ATS
58% 107-76-1
65% 62-33-1
58% 61-44
57% 46-35
TTL
74% 134-47-3
58% 56-40
100% 105-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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