UTAH
JAZZUTAH
4-17 | Road
141
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
8-14 | Home
99
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
JAZZ
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.9
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.9 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -11.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
UTAH By 1-7 points
8.2%
UTAH By 8-14 points
2.2%
POR By 1-7 points
20.3%
POR By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
102.29
UTAH
Portland
114.15
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Portland
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -11.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
UTAH @ POR
114 - 124
Feb 12, 2026
POR @ UTAH
135 - 119
Jan 5, 2026
UTAH @ POR
117 - 137
Oct 29, 2025
POR @ UTAH
136 - 134
Oct 16, 2025
POR @ UTAH
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+40.1% more
Portland: 7.4
vs
Utah: 5.3
Assists (L5)
+10.0% more
Portland: 25.8
vs
Utah: 23.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.0%
Portland: 78.5%
vs
Utah: 73.5%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.1%
Portland: 39.2%
vs
Utah: 35.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
102.3
141
POR Score
114.2
99
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.2 / 35.1
29.8 / 43.8
Assists
25.8 / 23.4
23.0 / 34.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.2
7.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
50.0 / 48.5
38.9 / 55.2
Free Throw %
78.5 / 73.5
64.7 / 91.3
Rebounding
37.2 / 43.1
34.0 / 61.0
Steals
7.4 / 5.3
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
17.2 / 20.7
11.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
UTAH
POR
UTAH
ML
53%
56-49
60%
96-63
55%
49-40
48%
40-43
ATS
62%
65-39-1
68%
108-51
55%
49-40
48%
40-43
TTL
56%
58-46-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
89-0
100%
83-0
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