UTAH
JAZZUTAH
5-17 | Road
97
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
11-13 | Home
141
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
KINGS
0%
JAZZ
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.8
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.8 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -6.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
UTAH By 1-7 points
15.7%
UTAH By 8-14 points
6.0%
SAC By 1-7 points
26.4%
SAC By 8-14 points
25.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
107.6
UTAH
Sacramento
114.38
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Sacramento
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
UTAH @ SAC
111 - 116
Feb 11, 2026
SAC @ UTAH
93 - 121
Nov 28, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
119 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
UTAH @ SAC
104 - 105
Feb 26, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
118 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+46.8% more
Sacramento: 8.1
vs
Utah: 5.5
Blocks (L5)
+33.2% more
Utah: 7.1
vs
Sacramento: 4.8
Turnovers (L5)
+33.2% more
Utah: 18.5
vs
Sacramento: 12.3
Rebounding (L5)
+11.8% more
Utah: 49.0
vs
Sacramento: 43.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
107.6
97
SAC Score
114.4
141
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.9 / 38.0
50.0 / 35.7
Assists
28.4 / 27.0
39.0 / 21.0
Blocks
4.8 / 7.1
7.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
49.2 / 50.7
57.0 / 38.8
Free Throw %
80.9 / 79.4
62.5 / 95.2
Rebounding
43.2 / 49.0
43.0 / 38.0
Steals
8.1 / 5.5
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.3 / 18.5
8.0 / 20.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
UTAH
SAC
UTAH
ML
55%
55-45
60%
96-63
61%
50-32
48%
40-43
ATS
54%
52-45-3
68%
108-51
61%
50-32
48%
40-43
TTL
58%
57-42-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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