Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Raptors NY @ TOR

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

14-9  |  Road

113
FINAL
Mon, Dec 9 • 7:30 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

7-17  |  Home

108
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
RAPTORS
100%
KNICKS --
RAPTORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.9 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 RaptorsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

83.8%

Raptors Cover

16.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -9.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

23.2%

NY By 8-14 points

27.2%

TOR By 1-7 points

10.9%

TOR By 8-14 points

3.4%

AI Model Projected Score
119.17
NEW YORK
109.29
TORONTO
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 228.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 TOR @ NY 95 - 112
Mar 3, 2026 NY @ TOR 111 - 95
Jan 28, 2026 NY @ TOR 119 - 92
Dec 9, 2025 NY @ TOR 117 - 101
Nov 30, 2025 TOR @ NY 94 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +9.8% more
New York: 4.9 vs Toronto: 4.4
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +6.4%
New York: 41.0% vs Toronto: 34.6%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
New York: 51.3% vs Toronto: 46.2%
Turnovers (L5) +17.2% more
Toronto: 16.7 vs New York: 14.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 119.2 113
TOR Score 109.3 108
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.6 / 41.0 37.1 / 42.5
Assists 30.9 / 28.1 23.0 / 32.0
Blocks 4.4 / 4.9 4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 46.2 / 51.3 44.8 / 51.2
Free Throw % 81.8 / 77.4 81.8 / 63.2
Rebounding 44.8 / 39.6 51.0 / 40.0
Steals 8.6 / 8.6 4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 16.7 / 14.2 13.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
TOR
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
TOR
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
NY
TOR
NY
ML
55% 57-47
61% 114-72
55% 48-39
56% 57-45
ATS
61% 62-40-2
67% 124-62
55% 48-39
56% 57-45
TTL
60% 62-42
72% 133-53
100% 87-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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