Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hawks @ Knicks ATL @ NY

ATLANTA

HAWKSATL

13-12  |  Road

108
FINAL
Wed, Dec 11 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

15-9  |  Home

100
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
HAWKS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
237.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.8
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.8 points (New York)
HawksATL (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

43.0%

Knicks Cover

57.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -1.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

ATL By 1-7 points

23.3%

ATL By 8-14 points

12.5%

NY By 1-7 points

26.7%

NY By 8-14 points

18.2%

AI Model Projected Score
117.84
ATLANTA
119.61
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
ATLANTA
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -1.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 237.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 30, 2026 NY @ ATL 140 - 89
Apr 28, 2026 ATL @ NY 97 - 126
Apr 25, 2026 NY @ ATL 114 - 98
Apr 23, 2026 NY @ ATL 108 - 109
Apr 20, 2026 ATL @ NY 107 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +47.4% more
New York: 5.6 vs Atlanta: 3.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.8%
New York: 41.5% vs Atlanta: 30.7%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.6%
New York: 51.3% vs Atlanta: 45.7%
Steals (L5) +29.8% more
Atlanta: 11.5 vs New York: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATL Score 117.8 108
NY Score 119.6 100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 41.5 / 30.7 26.2 / 29.0
Assists 29.4 / 31.0 27.0 / 27.0
Blocks 5.6 / 3.8 11.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 51.3 / 45.7 43.0 / 41.3
Free Throw % 72.7 / 79.3 60.0 / 65.0
Rebounding 39.8 / 48.4 49.0 / 58.0
Steals 8.0 / 11.5 8.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.8 / 15.3 15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
48-40-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.1
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
ATL
NY
ATL
ML
61% 114-72
50% 52-52
56% 57-45
55% 48-40
ATS
67% 124-62
53% 55-48-1
56% 57-45
55% 48-40
TTL
72% 133-53
53% 55-48-1
100% 102-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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