Home / NBA Projections NBA / Kings @ Pelicans SAC @ NO

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

12-13  |  Road

111
FINAL
Thu, Dec 12 • 8:00 PM ET
Smoothie King Center
View Odds Details →

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

5-20  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
📊
PELICANS
0%
KINGS --
PELICANS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.3
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.3 points (New Orleans)
KingsSAC (-3.5) 0 PelicansNO (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

37.0%

Pelicans Cover

63.0%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NO -3.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

SAC By 1-7 points

21.2%

SAC By 8-14 points

10.2%

NO By 1-7 points

27.3%

NO By 8-14 points

20.6%

AI Model Projected Score
107.27
SACRAMENTO
110.58
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
SACRAMENTO
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pelicans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pelicans (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 217.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 3, 2026 NO @ SAC 113 - 117
Mar 5, 2026 NO @ SAC 133 - 123
Feb 9, 2026 SAC @ NO 94 - 120
Feb 13, 2025 SAC @ NO 133 - 140
Feb 12, 2025 SAC @ NO 119 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +36.5% more
New Orleans: 11.9 vs Sacramento: 8.7
Turnovers (L5) +20.1% more
New Orleans: 13.1 vs Sacramento: 10.9
Blocks (L5) +16.0% more
New Orleans: 6.4 vs Sacramento: 5.5
Assists (L5) +24.7% more
Sacramento: 31.9 vs New Orleans: 24.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAC Score 107.3 111
NO Score 110.6 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.8 / 42.0 37.8 / 30.3
Assists 24.1 / 31.9 22.0 / 24.0
Blocks 6.4 / 5.5 4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 44.9 / 51.8 47.0 / 40.2
Free Throw % 75.7 / 74.7 85.0 / 93.1
Rebounding 41.4 / 43.2 43.0 / 50.0
Steals 11.9 / 8.7 6.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 13.1 / 10.9 17.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
NO Advantage
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
SAC
NO
SAC
ML
62% 98-61
55% 55-45
58% 48-35
61% 50-32
ATS
68% 107-51-1
54% 52-45-3
58% 48-35
61% 50-32
TTL
75% 119-40
58% 57-42-1
100% 83-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Luka Doncic Opens Up About Heartbreaking Season Away From His Da…
sportingnews 0 minutes ago
ATLAS League Launches to Crown World Champion in High School Bas…
yahoo 3 hours, 52 minutes ago
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
si 9 hours, 32 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 9 hours, 43 minutes ago
Phillies' 2027 Forecast: Four Farmhands Ready to Step Up
si 15 hours, 59 minutes ago