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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

3-19  |  Road

105
FINAL
Fri, Dec 13 • 7:00 PM ET
Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

21-4  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
CAVALIERS
0%
WIZARDS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-17.1
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.1 points (Cleveland)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

4.4%

Cavaliers Cover

95.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -17.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)

WSH By 1-7 points

3.2%

WSH By 8-14 points

0.6%

CLE By 1-7 points

12.0%

CLE By 8-14 points

22.9%

AI Model Projected Score
104.65
WASHINGTON
121.76
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
WASHINGTON
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Cavaliers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -17.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 226.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 WSH @ CLE 117 - 130
Feb 11, 2026 WSH @ CLE 113 - 138
Dec 12, 2025 CLE @ WSH 130 - 126
Nov 7, 2025 CLE @ WSH 148 - 115
Feb 7, 2025 CLE @ WSH 134 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +15.3% more
Cleveland: 27.3 vs Washington: 23.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +13.3%
Cleveland: 40.2% vs Washington: 26.9%
Field Goal % (L5) +5.0%
Cleveland: 48.6% vs Washington: 43.6%
Blocks (L5) +45.8% more
Washington: 6.3 vs Cleveland: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 104.7 105
CLE Score 121.8 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.2 / 26.9 30.0 / 35.0
Assists 27.3 / 23.7 27.0 / 24.0
Blocks 3.4 / 6.3 5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 48.6 / 43.6 39.6 / 47.7
Free Throw % 79.6 / 79.9 70.0 / 81.8
Rebounding 42.5 / 46.7 50.0 / 44.0
Steals 7.0 / 8.7 10.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.2 / 17.7 11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
CLE Advantage
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH Advantage
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
WSH
CLE
WSH
ML
60% 69-46
70% 112-49
56% 55-44
47% 39-44
ATS
67% 75-37-3
69% 111-49-1
56% 55-44
47% 39-44
TTL
59% 68-47
74% 119-41-1
100% 99-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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