PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
12-11 | Road
134
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
5-18 | Home
126
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
JAZZ
100%
SUNS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.8
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.8 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -4.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
27.3%
PHX By 8-14 points
22.7%
UTAH By 1-7 points
18.9%
UTAH By 8-14 points
8.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
112.41
PHOENIX
Utah
107.63
UTAH
Simulated Score
Phoenix
PHOENIX
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
UTAH @ PHX
109 - 134
Oct 31, 2025
UTAH @ PHX
96 - 118
Oct 27, 2025
PHX @ UTAH
134 - 138
Feb 7, 2025
UTAH @ PHX
127 - 135
Jan 11, 2025
UTAH @ PHX
106 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+28.0% more
Phoenix: 7.9
vs
Utah: 5.7
Assists (L5)
+8.7% more
Phoenix: 27.4
vs
Utah: 25.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.3%
Phoenix: 41.5%
vs
Utah: 37.2%
Blocks (L5)
+44.3% more
Utah: 6.7
vs
Phoenix: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
112.4
134
UTAH Score
107.6
126
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.2 / 41.5
56.4 / 48.9
Assists
25.0 / 27.4
30.0 / 36.0
Blocks
6.7 / 4.7
6.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
46.8 / 47.4
55.8 / 52.8
Free Throw %
84.7 / 85.2
81.8 / 90.0
Rebounding
45.4 / 41.6
34.0 / 37.0
Steals
5.7 / 7.9
5.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
19.0 / 16.8
15.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
PHX
UTAH
PHX
ML
60%
96-63
57%
60-45
48%
40-43
51%
45-43
ATS
68%
108-51
58%
59-43-3
48%
40-43
51%
45-43
TTL
75%
119-39-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
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