SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
12-12 | Road
118
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
8-16 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
SPURS
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.7
SAN ANTONIO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (San Antonio)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SA -2.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SA)
SA By 1-7 points
27.1%
SA By 8-14 points
19.6%
POR By 1-7 points
22.1%
POR By 8-14 points
11.2%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
109.44
SAN ANTONIO
Portland
106.78
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Portland
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Spurs
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Spurs (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 28, 2026
POR @ SA
95 - 114
Apr 26, 2026
SA @ POR
114 - 93
Apr 24, 2026
SA @ POR
120 - 108
Apr 21, 2026
POR @ SA
106 - 103
Apr 19, 2026
POR @ SA
98 - 111
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+37.9% more
San Antonio: 6.9
vs
Portland: 4.3
Steals (L5)
+31.8% more
San Antonio: 8.1
vs
Portland: 5.5
Assists (L5)
+19.2% more
San Antonio: 27.5
vs
Portland: 22.2
Rebounding (L5)
+14.1% more
San Antonio: 47.0
vs
Portland: 40.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
109.4
118
POR Score
106.8
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.4 / 31.7
39.0 / 46.7
Assists
22.2 / 27.5
25.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.3 / 6.9
5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 44.2
51.2 / 51.8
Free Throw %
79.5 / 76.9
94.1 / 76.2
Rebounding
40.4 / 47.0
36.0 / 41.0
Steals
5.5 / 8.1
9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
16.1 / 13.2
16.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
POR
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
POR
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
SA
POR
SA
ML
53%
56-49
60%
111-73
55%
49-40
58%
61-44
ATS
62%
65-39-1
58%
107-76-1
55%
49-40
58%
61-44
TTL
56%
58-46-1
74%
134-47-3
100%
89-0
100%
105-0
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