Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Magic NY @ ORL

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

15-10  |  Road

100
FINAL
Sun, Dec 15 • 6:00 PM ET
Kia Center
View Odds Details →

ORLANDO

MAGICORL

17-10  |  Home

91
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
MAGIC
0%
KNICKS --
MAGIC --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.0 points (Orlando)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 MagicORL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

42.1%

Magic Cover

57.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)

NY By 1-7 points

23.0%

NY By 8-14 points

12.2%

ORL By 1-7 points

26.8%

ORL By 8-14 points

18.5%

AI Model Projected Score
112.96
NEW YORK
114.95
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Magic Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Magic (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -2.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 227.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 13, 2025 NY @ ORL 132 - 120
Dec 7, 2025 ORL @ NY 100 - 106
Nov 22, 2025 NY @ ORL 121 - 133
Nov 12, 2025 ORL @ NY 124 - 107
Jan 6, 2025 ORL @ NY 103 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +32.1% more
Orlando: 10.6 vs New York: 8.0
Turnovers (L5) +13.0% more
Orlando: 15.3 vs New York: 13.6
Free Throw % (L5) +8.0%
Orlando: 76.5% vs New York: 68.5%
Assists (L5) +30.1% more
New York: 28.6 vs Orlando: 20.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 113.0 100
ORL Score 115.0 91
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.8 / 36.4 30.0 / 41.7
Assists 20.0 / 28.6 24.0 / 20.0
Blocks 5.8 / 7.4 10.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 45.5 / 48.5 41.9 / 46.5
Free Throw % 76.5 / 68.5 76.9 / 80.0
Rebounding 43.2 / 42.8 39.0 / 45.0
Steals 10.6 / 8.0 8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.3 / 13.6 15.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
ORL
49-42-0 (53.8%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
ORL
43-48-0 (47.3%)
Margin: 0.4 ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
NY
ORL
NY
ML
61% 65-42
61% 114-72
56% 51-40
56% 57-45
ATS
64% 68-38-1
67% 124-62
56% 51-40
56% 57-45
TTL
57% 61-46
72% 133-53
100% 91-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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