BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
20-5 | Road
112
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
3-20 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
CELTICS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.9
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.9 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -12.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
BOS By 1-7 points
18.8%
BOS By 8-14 points
26.9%
WSH By 1-7 points
7.0%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Boston
119.72
BOSTON
Washington
106.86
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Boston
BOSTON
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 14, 2026
WSH @ BOS
100 - 111
Dec 4, 2025
BOS @ WSH
146 - 101
Nov 5, 2025
WSH @ BOS
107 - 136
Apr 6, 2025
WSH @ BOS
90 - 124
Dec 15, 2024
BOS @ WSH
112 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+17.6% more
Boston: 28.9
vs
Washington: 23.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.0%
Boston: 36.6%
vs
Washington: 29.6%
Turnovers (L5)
+42.2% more
Washington: 17.8
vs
Boston: 12.5
Steals (L5)
+23.4% more
Washington: 8.1
vs
Boston: 6.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
BOS Score
119.7
112
WSH Score
106.9
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.6 / 36.6
32.5 / 39.1
Assists
23.8 / 28.9
22.0 / 26.0
Blocks
6.5 / 5.8
7.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 46.3
40.4 / 43.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 80.1
62.5 / 58.3
Rebounding
45.8 / 48.3
51.0 / 56.0
Steals
8.1 / 6.6
10.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
17.8 / 12.5
16.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
Advantage
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS
Advantage
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
BOS
WSH
BOS
ML
70%
112-49
57%
61-46
47%
39-44
53%
47-41
ATS
69%
111-49-1
59%
61-43-3
47%
39-44
53%
47-41
TTL
74%
119-41-1
56%
60-47
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
Contextual Game News
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
Providence Basketball Awaits NCAA Eligibility Verdicts for Dink …
Anthony Davis's Max Contract Ambitions Could Shape Wizards' Futu…
Baylor Scheierman Earns Praise from Mike Conley and Celtics Team…