Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ Wizards CHA @ WSH

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

7-19  |  Road

114
FINAL
Thu, Dec 19 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

3-21  |  Home

123
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
WIZARDS
0%
HORNETS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
199.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Washington)
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

43.1%

Wizards Cover

56.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSH -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

CHA By 1-7 points

23.4%

CHA By 8-14 points

12.6%

WSH By 1-7 points

26.7%

WSH By 8-14 points

18.1%

AI Model Projected Score
99.06
CHARLOTTE
100.79
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
CHARLOTTE
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wizards Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wizards (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 199.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 CHA @ WSH 129 - 112
Jan 24, 2026 WSH @ CHA 115 - 119
Dec 23, 2025 WSH @ CHA 109 - 126
Oct 26, 2025 CHA @ WSH 139 - 113
Mar 1, 2025 WSH @ CHA 113 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +19.1% more
Washington: 6.7 vs Charlotte: 5.6
Rebounding (L5) +9.1% more
Washington: 47.5 vs Charlotte: 43.6
Free Throw % (L5) +3.8%
Washington: 74.5% vs Charlotte: 70.7%
Assists (L5) +8.2% more
Charlotte: 25.3 vs Washington: 23.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 99.1 114
WSH Score 100.8 123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.6 / 31.6 40.5 / 18.6
Assists 23.2 / 25.3 33.0 / 30.0
Blocks 6.7 / 5.6 8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.4 / 45.0 49.4 / 40.6
Free Throw % 74.5 / 70.7 77.4 / 74.1
Rebounding 47.5 / 43.6 52.0 / 52.0
Steals 8.8 / 9.1 5.0 / 12.0
Turnovers 17.2 / 18.2 18.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CHA
WSH
CHA
ML
70% 112-49
61% 60-39
47% 39-44
48% 40-44
ATS
69% 111-49-1
60% 59-40
47% 39-44
48% 40-44
TTL
74% 119-41-1
58% 57-42
100% 83-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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