UTAH
JAZZUTAH
5-20 | Road
126
DETROIT
PISTONSDET
11-16 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
PISTONS
100%
JAZZ
--
PISTONS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.1
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.1 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -4.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.4%
UTAH By 8-14 points
21.8%
DET By 1-7 points
20.0%
DET By 8-14 points
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
110.26
UTAH
Detroit
106.16
DETROIT
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Detroit
DETROIT
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 26, 2025
DET @ UTAH
129 - 131
Nov 5, 2025
UTAH @ DET
103 - 114
Mar 3, 2025
DET @ UTAH
134 - 106
Dec 19, 2024
UTAH @ DET
126 - 119
Jan 3, 2024
DET @ UTAH
148 - 154
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+27.8% more
Utah: 5.3
vs
Detroit: 3.9
Turnovers (L5)
+11.3% more
Utah: 19.4
vs
Detroit: 17.2
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.6%
Utah: 80.3%
vs
Detroit: 77.7%
Steals (L5)
+28.1% more
Detroit: 8.1
vs
Utah: 6.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
110.3
126
DET Score
106.2
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.2 / 40.2
27.7 / 50.0
Assists
28.4 / 25.1
26.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.9 / 5.3
8.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
47.6 / 48.2
43.8 / 47.0
Free Throw %
77.7 / 80.3
77.8 / 90.3
Rebounding
45.0 / 39.4
39.0 / 62.0
Steals
8.1 / 6.3
10.0 / 5.0
Turnovers
17.2 / 19.4
10.0 / 27.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
DET
Advantage
67-29-0
(69.8%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
DET
Advantage
50-46-0
(52.1%)
Margin: 7.2
ATS +/-: +2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6%
Total +/-: -0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
UTAH
DET
UTAH
ML
55%
64-53
60%
96-63
49%
47-49
48%
40-43
ATS
53%
60-54-3
68%
108-51
49%
47-49
48%
40-43
TTL
60%
70-46-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
96-0
100%
83-0
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