Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Nets UTAH @ BKN

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

6-20  |  Road

105
FINAL
Sat, Dec 21 • 7:30 PM ET
Barclays Center
View Odds Details →

BROOKLYN

NETSBKN

11-16  |  Home

94
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
📊
NETS
0%
JAZZ --
NETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.2
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.2 points (Brooklyn)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 NetsBKN (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

33.6%

Nets Cover

66.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -4.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)

UTAH By 1-7 points

19.8%

UTAH By 8-14 points

9.0%

BKN By 1-7 points

27.4%

BKN By 8-14 points

22.0%

AI Model Projected Score
109.26
UTAH
113.49
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
UTAH
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Nets Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Nets (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 222.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 30, 2026 BKN @ UTAH 109 - 99
Dec 4, 2025 UTAH @ BKN 123 - 110
Jan 12, 2025 BKN @ UTAH 111 - 112
Dec 21, 2024 UTAH @ BKN 105 - 94
Jan 29, 2024 UTAH @ BKN 114 - 147
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +27.6% more
Brooklyn: 7.5 vs Utah: 5.9
Blocks (L5) +24.4% more
Utah: 6.2 vs Brooklyn: 4.7
Turnovers (L5) +19.8% more
Utah: 22.0 vs Brooklyn: 17.6
Rebounding (L5) +10.1% more
Utah: 46.9 vs Brooklyn: 42.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 109.3 105
BKN Score 113.5 94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.0 / 43.5 17.5 / 34.1
Assists 23.1 / 24.4 24.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.7 / 6.2 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 47.8 40.4 / 47.7
Free Throw % 81.9 / 83.6 91.7 / 52.9
Rebounding 42.2 / 46.9 50.0 / 45.0
Steals 7.5 / 5.9 9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 17.6 / 22.0 19.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH Advantage
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
BKN
20-62-0 (24.4%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
BKN
38-43-1 (46.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9% Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
UTAH
BKN
UTAH
ML
53% 50-45
60% 96-63
59% 48-34
48% 40-43
ATS
52% 48-44-3
68% 108-51
59% 48-34
48% 40-43
TTL
57% 54-41
75% 119-39-1
100% 82-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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