SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
15-13 | Road
106
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
9-17 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
76ERS
0%
SPURS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (Philadelphia)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)
SA By 1-7 points
19.3%
SA By 8-14 points
8.6%
PHI By 1-7 points
27.3%
PHI By 8-14 points
22.4%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
106.32
SAN ANTONIO
Philadelphia
110.88
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
76ers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
76ers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 6, 2026
PHI @ SA
102 - 115
Mar 3, 2026
SA @ PHI
131 - 91
Mar 21, 2025
PHI @ SA
120 - 128
Dec 23, 2024
SA @ PHI
106 - 111
Apr 7, 2024
PHI @ SA
133 - 126
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+14.1% more
Philadelphia: 9.9
vs
San Antonio: 8.6
Blocks (L5)
+56.8% more
San Antonio: 9.3
vs
Philadelphia: 4.0
Assists (L5)
+35.3% more
San Antonio: 31.7
vs
Philadelphia: 20.5
Rebounding (L5)
+9.9% more
San Antonio: 46.4
vs
Philadelphia: 41.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
106.3
106
PHI Score
110.9
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 33.8
36.4 / 33.3
Assists
20.5 / 31.7
22.0 / 24.0
Blocks
4.0 / 9.3
2.0 / 12.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 46.4
41.9 / 45.7
Free Throw %
75.9 / 79.3
73.9 / 94.4
Rebounding
41.8 / 46.4
47.0 / 42.0
Steals
9.9 / 8.6
11.0 / 4.0
Turnovers
15.1 / 14.7
11.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
SA
PHI
SA
ML
63%
69-40
60%
111-73
48%
45-48
58%
61-44
ATS
65%
71-38
58%
107-76-1
48%
45-48
58%
61-44
TTL
55%
60-49
74%
134-47-3
100%
93-0
100%
105-0
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