AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
CAVALIERS
0%
JAZZ
--
CAVALIERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.2
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.2 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CLE -11.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
UTAH By 1-7 points
9.0%
UTAH By 8-14 points
2.5%
CLE By 1-7 points
21.3%
CLE By 8-14 points
27.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
112.24
UTAH
Cleveland
123.47
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Cleveland
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -11.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 235.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 30, 2026
CLE @ UTAH
122 - 113
Jan 12, 2026
UTAH @ CLE
123 - 112
Mar 23, 2025
CLE @ UTAH
120 - 91
Dec 23, 2024
UTAH @ CLE
113 - 124
Apr 2, 2024
CLE @ UTAH
129 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+26.0% more
Cleveland: 9.6
vs
Utah: 7.6
Assists (L5)
+21.7% more
Cleveland: 30.0
vs
Utah: 24.6
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+3.1%
Cleveland: 43.4%
vs
Utah: 40.3%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.6%
Cleveland: 50.4%
vs
Utah: 47.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
112.2
113
CLE Score
123.5
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
43.4 / 40.3
43.5 / 43.2
Assists
30.0 / 24.6
33.0 / 27.0
Blocks
2.4 / 6.8
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.4 / 47.8
47.3 / 41.3
Free Throw %
72.2 / 73.4
78.3 / 69.2
Rebounding
46.6 / 46.3
40.0 / 51.0
Steals
9.6 / 7.6
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 20.6
9.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
UTAH
CLE
UTAH
ML
60%
69-46
60%
96-63
56%
55-44
48%
40-43
ATS
67%
75-37-3
68%
108-51
56%
55-44
48%
40-43
TTL
59%
68-47
75%
119-39-1
100%
99-0
100%
83-0