Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ Wizards CHA @ WSH

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

7-22  |  Road

110
FINAL
Thu, Dec 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

4-23  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
WIZARDS
0%
HORNETS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
204.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.2
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.2 points (Washington)
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

41.3%

Wizards Cover

58.7%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSH -2.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)

CHA By 1-7 points

22.7%

CHA By 8-14 points

11.8%

WSH By 1-7 points

26.9%

WSH By 8-14 points

18.9%

AI Model Projected Score
100.98
CHARLOTTE
103.19
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
CHARLOTTE
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Wizards Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Wizards (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -2.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 204.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 22, 2026 CHA @ WSH 129 - 112
Jan 24, 2026 WSH @ CHA 115 - 119
Dec 23, 2025 WSH @ CHA 109 - 126
Oct 26, 2025 CHA @ WSH 139 - 113
Mar 1, 2025 WSH @ CHA 113 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +38.6% more
Washington: 6.7 vs Charlotte: 4.9
Turnovers (L5) +30.7% more
Washington: 18.3 vs Charlotte: 14.0
Rebounding (L5) +9.3% more
Washington: 49.2 vs Charlotte: 45.1
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +8.4%
Washington: 37.0% vs Charlotte: 28.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 101.0 110
WSH Score 103.2 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.0 / 28.6 31.8 / 40.5
Assists 24.5 / 25.2 25.0 / 31.0
Blocks 6.7 / 4.9 7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 43.3 / 43.5 42.9 / 43.6
Free Throw % 77.2 / 72.5 75.0 / 78.6
Rebounding 49.2 / 45.1 43.0 / 50.0
Steals 7.2 / 8.7 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 18.3 / 14.0 11.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CHA
WSH
CHA
ML
70% 112-49
61% 60-39
47% 39-44
48% 40-44
ATS
69% 111-49-1
60% 59-40
47% 39-44
48% 40-44
TTL
74% 119-41-1
58% 57-42
100% 83-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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