UTAH
JAZZUTAH
7-21 | Road
120
PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
9-20 | Home
122
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
TRAIL BLAZERS
0%
JAZZ
--
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
PORTLAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Portland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around POR -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (POR)
UTAH By 1-7 points
21.8%
UTAH By 8-14 points
10.8%
POR By 1-7 points
27.2%
POR By 8-14 points
20.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
110.47
UTAH
Portland
113.36
PORTLAND
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Portland
PORTLAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Trail Blazers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 223.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
UTAH @ POR
114 - 124
Feb 12, 2026
POR @ UTAH
135 - 119
Jan 5, 2026
UTAH @ POR
117 - 137
Oct 29, 2025
POR @ UTAH
136 - 134
Oct 16, 2025
POR @ UTAH
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.0%
Portland: 76.0%
vs
Utah: 72.0%
Blocks (L5)
+46.4% more
Utah: 6.2
vs
Portland: 3.3
Turnovers (L5)
+21.9% more
Utah: 19.4
vs
Portland: 15.2
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+10.9%
Utah: 41.3%
vs
Portland: 30.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
110.5
120
POR Score
113.4
122
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.4 / 41.3
39.5 / 50.0
Assists
24.2 / 25.4
26.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.3 / 6.2
8.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
44.8 / 45.6
50.6 / 47.7
Free Throw %
76.0 / 72.0
77.3 / 68.0
Rebounding
44.9 / 47.9
43.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.7 / 7.1
10.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 19.4
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
POR
UTAH
POR
UTAH
ML
53%
56-49
60%
96-63
55%
49-40
48%
40-43
ATS
62%
65-39-1
68%
108-51
55%
49-40
48%
40-43
TTL
56%
58-46-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
89-0
100%
83-0
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