GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
15-14 | Road
92
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
17-13 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
WARRIORS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.4
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.4 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -5.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
GS By 1-7 points
17.8%
GS By 8-14 points
7.5%
LAC By 1-7 points
27.1%
LAC By 8-14 points
23.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
110.09
GOLDEN STATE
LA
115.53
LA
Simulated Score
Golden State
GOLDEN STATE
LA
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 225.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 15, 2026
GS @ LAC
126 - 121
Apr 12, 2026
GS @ LAC
110 - 115
Mar 2, 2026
LAC @ GS
114 - 101
Jan 5, 2026
GS @ LAC
102 - 103
Oct 28, 2025
LAC @ GS
79 - 98
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+84.3% more
LA: 11.9
vs
Golden State: 6.5
Turnovers (L5)
+25.0% more
LA: 16.4
vs
Golden State: 13.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.6%
LA: 82.2%
vs
Golden State: 72.6%
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
LA: 46.3%
vs
Golden State: 44.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
110.1
92
LAC Score
115.5
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 37.0
31.3 / 18.4
Assists
23.0 / 27.4
19.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.2 / 6.5
10.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
46.3 / 44.2
53.3 / 36.8
Free Throw %
82.2 / 72.6
80.0 / 75.0
Rebounding
44.8 / 42.9
39.0 / 47.0
Steals
11.9 / 6.5
6.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
16.4 / 13.1
23.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
GS
LAC
GS
ML
60%
59-40
55%
95-79
55%
45-37
58%
49-35
ATS
66%
65-33-1
58%
101-73
55%
45-37
58%
49-35
TTL
59%
58-40-1
77%
134-40
100%
82-0
100%
84-0
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