Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Wizards NY @ WSH

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

21-10  |  Road

136
FINAL
Sat, Dec 28 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

5-23  |  Home

132
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
WIZARDS
100%
KNICKS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.5 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

89.4%

Wizards Cover

10.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -12.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

19.4%

NY By 8-14 points

27.1%

WSH By 1-7 points

7.5%

WSH By 8-14 points

1.9%

AI Model Projected Score
119.71
NEW YORK
107.25
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -12.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 22, 2026 WSH @ NY 113 - 145
Feb 3, 2026 NY @ WSH 132 - 101
Nov 3, 2025 WSH @ NY 102 - 119
Oct 13, 2025 WSH @ NY 120 - 103
Mar 22, 2025 WSH @ NY 103 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +13.4% more
New York: 9.0 vs Washington: 7.8
Field Goal % (L5) +7.4%
New York: 50.6% vs Washington: 43.1%
Blocks (L5) +125.5% more
Washington: 6.8 vs New York: 3.0
Turnovers (L5) +10.9% more
Washington: 15.9 vs New York: 14.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 119.7 136
WSH Score 107.3 132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.3 / 35.1 44.7 / 25.0
Assists 24.7 / 25.1 32.0 / 26.0
Blocks 6.8 / 3.0 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 50.6 51.5 / 52.6
Free Throw % 76.4 / 76.6 86.7 / 92.3
Rebounding 47.2 / 43.9 44.0 / 43.0
Steals 7.8 / 9.0 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.9 / 14.3 17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NY
WSH
NY
ML
70% 112-49
61% 114-72
47% 39-44
56% 57-45
ATS
69% 111-49-1
67% 124-62
47% 39-44
56% 57-45
TTL
74% 119-41-1
72% 133-53
100% 83-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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