NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
22-10 | Road
126
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
5-24 | Home
106
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
KNICKS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
227.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.5 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -12.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
19.4%
NY By 8-14 points
27.1%
WSH By 1-7 points
7.5%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.9%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
119.71
NEW YORK
Washington
107.25
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 227.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 22, 2026
WSH @ NY
113 - 145
Feb 3, 2026
NY @ WSH
132 - 101
Nov 3, 2025
WSH @ NY
102 - 119
Oct 13, 2025
WSH @ NY
120 - 103
Mar 22, 2025
WSH @ NY
103 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+9.7% more
New York: 8.4
vs
Washington: 7.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
New York: 51.2%
vs
Washington: 45.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.0%
New York: 81.9%
vs
Washington: 79.9%
Blocks (L5)
+94.7% more
Washington: 5.9
vs
New York: 3.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
119.7
126
WSH Score
107.3
106
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.4 / 31.7
27.9 / 34.1
Assists
27.1 / 25.4
25.0 / 34.0
Blocks
5.9 / 3.0
8.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 51.2
42.4 / 45.9
Free Throw %
79.9 / 81.9
72.7 / 84.0
Rebounding
46.1 / 43.6
46.0 / 54.0
Steals
7.5 / 8.4
6.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
16.3 / 14.6
13.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NY
WSH
NY
ML
70%
112-49
61%
114-72
47%
39-44
56%
57-45
ATS
69%
111-49-1
67%
124-62
47%
39-44
56%
57-45
TTL
74%
119-41-1
72%
133-53
100%
83-0
100%
102-0
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