LA
CLIPPERSLAC
18-13 | Road
116
NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
5-27 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
100%
PELICANS
0%
CLIPPERS
--
PELICANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
221.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.0
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 points (New Orleans)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NO -1.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)
LAC By 1-7 points
24.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
13.8%
NO By 1-7 points
26.2%
NO By 8-14 points
16.9%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
110.37
LA
New Orleans
111.33
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
LA
LA
New Orleans
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -1.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 221.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 19, 2026
LAC @ NO
99 - 105
Mar 18, 2026
LAC @ NO
109 - 124
Mar 1, 2026
NO @ LAC
117 - 137
Oct 31, 2025
NO @ LAC
124 - 126
Apr 2, 2025
NO @ LAC
98 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+32.6% more
New Orleans: 28.7
vs
LA: 21.6
Steals (L5)
+19.9% more
New Orleans: 11.9
vs
LA: 9.9
Turnovers (L5)
+13.1% more
LA: 18.6
vs
New Orleans: 16.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.5%
LA: 48.7%
vs
New Orleans: 44.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
110.4
116
NO Score
111.3
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 34.2
48.6 / 35.1
Assists
28.7 / 21.6
30.0 / 24.0
Blocks
6.4 / 6.8
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
44.2 / 48.7
51.2 / 47.7
Free Throw %
79.9 / 81.5
78.6 / 77.8
Rebounding
43.9 / 42.9
35.0 / 40.0
Steals
11.9 / 9.9
13.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 18.6
16.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
NO
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
LAC
NO
LAC
ML
62%
98-61
60%
59-40
58%
48-35
55%
45-37
ATS
68%
107-51-1
66%
65-33-1
58%
48-35
55%
45-37
TTL
75%
119-40
59%
58-40-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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