NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
24-10 | Road
107
OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDEROKC
28-5 | Home
117
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
THUNDER
0%
KNICKS
--
THUNDER
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.4
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.4 points (Oklahoma City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around OKC -2.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)
NY By 1-7 points
22.5%
NY By 8-14 points
11.6%
OKC By 1-7 points
27.0%
OKC By 8-14 points
19.2%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
114.76
NEW YORK
Oklahoma City
117.15
OKLAHOMA CITY
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Oklahoma City
OKLAHOMA CITY
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Thunder
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Thunder (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 231.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
NY @ OKC
100 - 111
Mar 4, 2026
OKC @ NY
103 - 100
Jan 10, 2025
OKC @ NY
126 - 101
Jan 3, 2025
NY @ OKC
107 - 117
Mar 31, 2024
OKC @ NY
113 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+27.3% more
Oklahoma City: 11.5
vs
New York: 9.0
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.3%
Oklahoma City: 82.5%
vs
New York: 78.3%
Rebounding (L5)
+13.4% more
New York: 47.1
vs
Oklahoma City: 40.7
Turnovers (L5)
+12.5% more
New York: 12.6
vs
Oklahoma City: 11.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
114.8
107
OKC Score
117.2
117
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.4 / 34.7
51.9 / 28.1
Assists
27.7 / 29.2
27.0 / 22.0
Blocks
4.0 / 3.8
7.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 51.4
51.2 / 47.8
Free Throw %
82.5 / 78.3
81.0 / 70.6
Rebounding
40.7 / 47.1
41.0 / 42.0
Steals
11.5 / 9.0
9.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
11.0 / 12.6
13.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
OKC
Advantage
75-22-0
(77.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
OKC
47-50-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OKC
NY
OKC
NY
ML
70%
80-34
61%
114-72
48%
46-49
56%
57-45
ATS
73%
83-30-1
67%
124-62
48%
46-49
56%
57-45
TTL
67%
76-38
72%
133-53
100%
95-0
100%
102-0
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