WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
6-25 | Road
120
NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
5-29 | Home
132
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
PELICANS
0%
WIZARDS
--
PELICANS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.4
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.4 points (New Orleans)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NO -4.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)
WSH By 1-7 points
19.6%
WSH By 8-14 points
8.8%
NO By 1-7 points
27.3%
NO By 8-14 points
22.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
106.39
WASHINGTON
New Orleans
110.75
NEW ORLEANS
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
New Orleans
NEW ORLEANS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
WSH @ NO
118 - 138
Jan 9, 2026
NO @ WSH
128 - 107
Jan 5, 2025
NO @ WSH
110 - 98
Jan 3, 2025
WSH @ NO
120 - 132
Feb 14, 2024
WSH @ NO
126 - 133
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+16.7% more
New Orleans: 6.3
vs
Washington: 5.4
Steals (L5)
+14.0% more
New Orleans: 9.5
vs
Washington: 8.4
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.3%
New Orleans: 81.8%
vs
Washington: 79.4%
Rebounding (L5)
+15.9% more
Washington: 44.7
vs
New Orleans: 37.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
106.4
120
NO Score
110.8
132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 39.0
43.9 / 32.1
Assists
27.8 / 29.6
36.0 / 28.0
Blocks
6.3 / 5.4
6.0 / 0.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 46.3
50.0 / 53.6
Free Throw %
81.8 / 79.4
81.8 / 77.8
Rebounding
37.6 / 44.7
37.0 / 48.0
Steals
9.5 / 8.4
10.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.4 / 15.8
8.0 / 21.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
NO
Advantage
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NO
WSH
NO
WSH
ML
62%
98-61
70%
112-49
58%
48-35
47%
39-44
ATS
68%
107-51-1
69%
111-49-1
58%
48-35
47%
39-44
TTL
75%
119-40
74%
119-41-1
100%
83-0
100%
83-0
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