Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Bulls NY @ CHI

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

24-11  |  Road

126
FINAL
Sat, Jan 4 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

15-19  |  Home

139
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
BULLS
100%
KNICKS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.7 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

71.6%

Bulls Cover

28.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -5.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

27.0%

NY By 8-14 points

23.9%

CHI By 1-7 points

17.4%

CHI By 8-14 points

7.2%

AI Model Projected Score
118.2
NEW YORK
112.5
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -5.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 230.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 3, 2026 CHI @ NY 96 - 136
Feb 22, 2026 NY @ CHI 105 - 99
Nov 2, 2025 CHI @ NY 116 - 128
Oct 31, 2025 NY @ CHI 125 - 135
Feb 20, 2025 CHI @ NY 111 - 113
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +6.4%
New York: 50.2% vs Chicago: 43.8%
Blocks (L5) +43.9% more
Chicago: 4.6 vs New York: 3.2
Turnovers (L5) +28.8% more
Chicago: 15.9 vs New York: 12.4
Assists (L5) +12.6% more
Chicago: 30.2 vs New York: 26.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 118.2 126
CHI Score 112.5 139
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.4 / 32.5 54.1 / 26.7
Assists 30.2 / 26.8 36.0 / 27.0
Blocks 4.6 / 3.2 4.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 43.8 / 50.2 54.3 / 49.5
Free Throw % 76.9 / 75.7 94.4 / 78.6
Rebounding 49.0 / 45.4 43.0 / 49.0
Steals 9.1 / 8.4 6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 15.9 / 12.4 13.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
NY
CHI
NY
ML
56% 54-42
61% 114-72
57% 46-35
56% 57-45
ATS
65% 62-33-1
67% 124-62
57% 46-35
56% 57-45
TTL
58% 56-40
72% 133-53
100% 81-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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